Aneka Gas (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1680.00
| AGII Stock | IDR 1,680 20.00 1.20% |
Aneka |
Aneka Gas Target Price Odds to finish over 1680.00
The tendency of Aneka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1,680 | 90 days | 1,680 | about 88.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aneka Gas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.91 (This Aneka Gas Industri probability density function shows the probability of Aneka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aneka Gas Industri has a beta of -0.0589. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aneka Gas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aneka Gas Industri is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aneka Gas Industri has an alpha of 0.0015, implying that it can generate a 0.001451 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aneka Gas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aneka Gas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aneka Gas Industri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aneka Gas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aneka Gas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aneka Gas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aneka Gas Industri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aneka Gas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 49.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Aneka Gas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aneka Gas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aneka Gas Industri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aneka Gas Industri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aneka Gas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aneka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aneka Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aneka Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 827.8 B |
Aneka Gas Technical Analysis
Aneka Gas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aneka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aneka Gas Industri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aneka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aneka Gas Predictive Forecast Models
Aneka Gas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aneka Gas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aneka Gas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aneka Gas Industri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aneka Gas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aneka Gas Industri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aneka Gas Industri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Aneka Stock
Aneka Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aneka Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aneka with respect to the benefits of owning Aneka Gas security.