Agillic AS (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.30
| AGILC Stock | DKK 9.30 0.05 0.53% |
Agillic |
Agillic AS Target Price Odds to finish over 9.30
The tendency of Agillic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.30 | 90 days | 9.30 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agillic AS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Agillic AS probability density function shows the probability of Agillic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Agillic AS has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Agillic AS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Agillic AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Agillic AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Agillic AS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agillic AS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agillic AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agillic AS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agillic AS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agillic AS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agillic AS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agillic AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agillic AS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Agillic AS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agillic AS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agillic AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agillic AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agillic AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 52.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.06 M. | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Agillic AS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agillic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agillic AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agillic AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.2 M |
Agillic AS Technical Analysis
Agillic AS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agillic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agillic AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agillic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agillic AS Predictive Forecast Models
Agillic AS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agillic AS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agillic AS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agillic AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agillic AS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agillic AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agillic AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agillic AS has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 52.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.06 M. | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Agillic Stock
Agillic AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agillic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agillic with respect to the benefits of owning Agillic AS security.