Aguila American Gold Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 4.87
| AGLAF Stock | USD 0.28 0.00 0.00% |
Aguila |
Aguila American Target Price Odds to finish over 4.87
The tendency of Aguila OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 4.87 or more in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 4.87 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aguila American to move over $ 4.87 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Aguila American Gold probability density function shows the probability of Aguila OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aguila American Gold price to stay between its current price of $ 0.28 and $ 4.87 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aguila American has a beta of 0.0861. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aguila American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aguila American Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aguila American Gold has an alpha of 0.1751, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aguila American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aguila American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aguila American Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aguila American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aguila American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aguila American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aguila American Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aguila American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Aguila American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aguila American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aguila American Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aguila American Gold is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Aguila American Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aguila American Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aguila American Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Aguila American Gold has accumulated about 1.65 M in cash with (423.09 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aguila American Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aguila OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aguila American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aguila American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24 M |
Aguila American Technical Analysis
Aguila American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aguila OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aguila American Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aguila OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aguila American Predictive Forecast Models
Aguila American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aguila American's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aguila American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aguila American Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aguila American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aguila American Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aguila American Gold is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Aguila American Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aguila American Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aguila American Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Aguila American Gold has accumulated about 1.65 M in cash with (423.09 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Aguila OTC Stock
Aguila American financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aguila OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aguila with respect to the benefits of owning Aguila American security.