Agnc Investment Corp Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 25.36
| AGNCN Preferred Stock | USD 25.87 0.16 0.62% |
AGNC |
AGNC Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 25.36
The tendency of AGNC Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 25.36 or more in 90 days |
| 25.87 | 90 days | 25.36 | about 39.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AGNC Investment to drop to $ 25.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.59 (This AGNC Investment Corp probability density function shows the probability of AGNC Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AGNC Investment Corp price to stay between $ 25.36 and its current price of $25.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AGNC Investment Corp has a beta of -0.038. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AGNC Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AGNC Investment Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AGNC Investment Corp has an alpha of 0.0381, implying that it can generate a 0.0381 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AGNC Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AGNC Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGNC Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AGNC Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AGNC Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AGNC Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AGNC Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AGNC Investment Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AGNC Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
AGNC Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AGNC Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AGNC Investment Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Net Loss for the year was (1.19 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.12 B). |
AGNC Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AGNC Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AGNC Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGNC Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 574.6 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 2.3 | |
| Shares Float | 569.1 M |
AGNC Investment Technical Analysis
AGNC Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AGNC Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AGNC Investment Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing AGNC Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AGNC Investment Predictive Forecast Models
AGNC Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many AGNC Investment's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AGNC Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AGNC Investment Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about AGNC Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AGNC Investment Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Net Loss for the year was (1.19 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.12 B). |
Other Information on Investing in AGNC Preferred Stock
AGNC Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGNC Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGNC with respect to the benefits of owning AGNC Investment security.