Agriforce Growing Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.47
| AGRI Stock | USD 0.04 0.0002 0.51% |
AgriFORCE |
AgriFORCE Growing Target Price Odds to finish over 0.47
The tendency of AgriFORCE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.47 or more in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.47 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AgriFORCE Growing to move over $ 0.47 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AgriFORCE Growing Systems probability density function shows the probability of AgriFORCE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AgriFORCE Growing Systems price to stay between its current price of $ 0.04 and $ 0.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AgriFORCE Growing has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AgriFORCE Growing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AgriFORCE Growing Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AgriFORCE Growing Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AgriFORCE Growing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AgriFORCE Growing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AgriFORCE Growing Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AgriFORCE Growing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AgriFORCE Growing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AgriFORCE Growing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AgriFORCE Growing Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AgriFORCE Growing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
AgriFORCE Growing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AgriFORCE Growing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AgriFORCE Growing Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AgriFORCE Growing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AgriFORCE Growing has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AgriFORCE Growing has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AgriFORCE Growing has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.28 K. Net Loss for the year was (11.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| AgriFORCE Growing Systems currently holds about 2.03 M in cash with (6.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AgriFORCE Growing has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AgriFORCE Announces Evolution of Business Model to Follow Bitcoin Mining Facility Acquisition |
AgriFORCE Growing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AgriFORCE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AgriFORCE Growing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AgriFORCE Growing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 M | |
| Shares Float | 91.7 M |
AgriFORCE Growing Technical Analysis
AgriFORCE Growing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AgriFORCE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AgriFORCE Growing Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing AgriFORCE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AgriFORCE Growing Predictive Forecast Models
AgriFORCE Growing's time-series forecasting models is one of many AgriFORCE Growing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AgriFORCE Growing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AgriFORCE Growing Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about AgriFORCE Growing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AgriFORCE Growing Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AgriFORCE Growing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AgriFORCE Growing has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AgriFORCE Growing has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AgriFORCE Growing has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.28 K. Net Loss for the year was (11.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| AgriFORCE Growing Systems currently holds about 2.03 M in cash with (6.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AgriFORCE Growing has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AgriFORCE Announces Evolution of Business Model to Follow Bitcoin Mining Facility Acquisition |
Check out AgriFORCE Growing Backtesting, AgriFORCE Growing Valuation, AgriFORCE Growing Correlation, AgriFORCE Growing Hype Analysis, AgriFORCE Growing Volatility, AgriFORCE Growing History as well as AgriFORCE Growing Performance. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AgriFORCE Growing. If investors know AgriFORCE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AgriFORCE Growing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.78) | Revenue Per Share 0.005 | Return On Assets (0.21) | Return On Equity (1.62) |
The market value of AgriFORCE Growing Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AgriFORCE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AgriFORCE Growing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AgriFORCE Growing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AgriFORCE Growing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AgriFORCE Growing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AgriFORCE Growing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AgriFORCE Growing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AgriFORCE Growing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.