AgriBank FCB Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 99.06
| AGRIPDelisted Stock | USD 100.50 0.01 0.01% |
AgriBank |
AgriBank FCB Target Price Odds to finish over 99.06
The tendency of AgriBank Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 99.06 in 90 days |
| 100.50 | 90 days | 99.06 | about 70.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AgriBank FCB to stay above $ 99.06 in 90 days from now is about 70.66 (This AgriBank FCB probability density function shows the probability of AgriBank Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AgriBank FCB price to stay between $ 99.06 and its current price of $100.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AgriBank FCB has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AgriBank FCB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AgriBank FCB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AgriBank FCB has an alpha of 0.0061, implying that it can generate a 0.006081 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AgriBank FCB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AgriBank FCB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AgriBank FCB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AgriBank FCB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AgriBank FCB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AgriBank FCB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AgriBank FCB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AgriBank FCB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
AgriBank FCB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AgriBank FCB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AgriBank FCB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AgriBank FCB is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AgriBank FCB has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| AgriBank FCB has accumulated about 965.29 M in cash with (571.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.17. |
AgriBank FCB Technical Analysis
AgriBank FCB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AgriBank Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AgriBank FCB. In general, you should focus on analyzing AgriBank Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AgriBank FCB Predictive Forecast Models
AgriBank FCB's time-series forecasting models is one of many AgriBank FCB's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AgriBank FCB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AgriBank FCB
Checking the ongoing alerts about AgriBank FCB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AgriBank FCB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AgriBank FCB is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AgriBank FCB has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| AgriBank FCB has accumulated about 965.29 M in cash with (571.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.17. |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Other Consideration for investing in AgriBank Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in AgriBank FCB check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the AgriBank FCB's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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