AAPICO Hitech (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.58
| AH Stock | 18.50 0.20 1.07% |
AAPICO |
AAPICO Hitech Target Price Odds to finish below 26.58
The tendency of AAPICO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 26.58 after 90 days |
| 18.50 | 90 days | 26.58 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AAPICO Hitech to stay under 26.58 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This AAPICO Hitech Public probability density function shows the probability of AAPICO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AAPICO Hitech Public price to stay between its current price of 18.50 and 26.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AAPICO Hitech has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AAPICO Hitech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AAPICO Hitech Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AAPICO Hitech Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AAPICO Hitech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AAPICO Hitech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AAPICO Hitech Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AAPICO Hitech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AAPICO Hitech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AAPICO Hitech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AAPICO Hitech Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AAPICO Hitech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
AAPICO Hitech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AAPICO Hitech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AAPICO Hitech Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AAPICO Hitech Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AAPICO Hitech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AAPICO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AAPICO Hitech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AAPICO Hitech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 354.8 M |
AAPICO Hitech Technical Analysis
AAPICO Hitech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AAPICO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AAPICO Hitech Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing AAPICO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AAPICO Hitech Predictive Forecast Models
AAPICO Hitech's time-series forecasting models is one of many AAPICO Hitech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AAPICO Hitech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AAPICO Hitech Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about AAPICO Hitech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AAPICO Hitech Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AAPICO Hitech Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AAPICO Stock
AAPICO Hitech financial ratios help investors to determine whether AAPICO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AAPICO with respect to the benefits of owning AAPICO Hitech security.