Aikchol Hospital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.62
| AHC Stock | THB 15.50 0.30 1.90% |
Aikchol |
Aikchol Hospital Target Price Odds to finish over 15.62
The tendency of Aikchol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 15.62 or more in 90 days |
| 15.50 | 90 days | 15.62 | about 47.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aikchol Hospital to move over 15.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 47.76 (This Aikchol Hospital Public probability density function shows the probability of Aikchol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aikchol Hospital Public price to stay between its current price of 15.50 and 15.62 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aikchol Hospital has a beta of 0.0264. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aikchol Hospital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aikchol Hospital Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aikchol Hospital Public has an alpha of 0.0309, implying that it can generate a 0.0309 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aikchol Hospital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aikchol Hospital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aikchol Hospital Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aikchol Hospital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aikchol Hospital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aikchol Hospital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aikchol Hospital Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aikchol Hospital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Aikchol Hospital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aikchol Hospital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aikchol Hospital Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aikchol Hospital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aikchol Hospital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aikchol Hospital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aikchol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aikchol Hospital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aikchol Hospital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.9 M |
Aikchol Hospital Technical Analysis
Aikchol Hospital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aikchol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aikchol Hospital Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aikchol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aikchol Hospital Predictive Forecast Models
Aikchol Hospital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aikchol Hospital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aikchol Hospital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aikchol Hospital Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aikchol Hospital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aikchol Hospital Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aikchol Hospital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aikchol Hospital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Aikchol Stock
Aikchol Hospital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aikchol Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aikchol with respect to the benefits of owning Aikchol Hospital security.