AH Vest (South Africa) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.75
| AHL Stock | 13.00 0.00 0.00% |
AHL |
AH Vest Target Price Odds to finish over 16.75
The tendency of AHL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.75 or more in 90 days |
| 13.00 | 90 days | 16.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AH Vest to move over 16.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AH Vest Limited probability density function shows the probability of AHL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AH Vest Limited price to stay between its current price of 13.00 and 16.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AH Vest Limited has a beta of -0.59. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AH Vest are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AH Vest Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AH Vest Limited has an alpha of 0.5202, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AH Vest Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AH Vest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AH Vest Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AH Vest Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AH Vest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AH Vest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AH Vest Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AH Vest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
AH Vest Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AH Vest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AH Vest Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AH Vest Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AH Vest generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AH Vest Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AHL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AH Vest's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AH Vest's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 651.4 K |
AH Vest Technical Analysis
AH Vest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AHL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AH Vest Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing AHL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AH Vest Predictive Forecast Models
AH Vest's time-series forecasting models is one of many AH Vest's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AH Vest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AH Vest Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about AH Vest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AH Vest Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AH Vest Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AH Vest generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AHL Stock
AH Vest financial ratios help investors to determine whether AHL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AHL with respect to the benefits of owning AH Vest security.