ATHENS INTERNATIONAL (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.97
| AIA Stock | 8.15 0.10 1.24% |
ATHENS |
ATHENS INTERNATIONAL Target Price Odds to finish below 7.97
The tendency of ATHENS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.97 or more in 90 days |
| 8.15 | 90 days | 7.97 | about 91.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATHENS INTERNATIONAL to drop to 7.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.34 (This ATHENS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT probability density function shows the probability of ATHENS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATHENS INTERNATIONAL price to stay between 7.97 and its current price of 8.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ATHENS INTERNATIONAL has a beta of 0.0163. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ATHENS INTERNATIONAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ATHENS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ATHENS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT has an alpha of 0.0591, implying that it can generate a 0.0591 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ATHENS INTERNATIONAL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ATHENS INTERNATIONAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATHENS INTERNATIONAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ATHENS INTERNATIONAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATHENS INTERNATIONAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATHENS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATHENS INTERNATIONAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
ATHENS INTERNATIONAL Technical Analysis
ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATHENS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATHENS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATHENS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ATHENS INTERNATIONAL Predictive Forecast Models
ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ATHENS INTERNATIONAL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ATHENS INTERNATIONAL options trading.
Additional Tools for ATHENS Stock Analysis
When running ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's price analysis, check to measure ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ATHENS INTERNATIONAL is operating at the current time. Most of ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ATHENS INTERNATIONAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ATHENS INTERNATIONAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.