AIB Group PLC Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 4.40
| AIBRFDelisted Stock | USD 4.30 0.00 0.00% |
AIB |
AIB Group Target Price Odds to finish below 4.40
The tendency of AIB OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 4.40 after 90 days |
| 4.30 | 90 days | 4.40 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AIB Group to stay under $ 4.40 after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This AIB Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of AIB OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AIB Group PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 4.30 and $ 4.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AIB Group PLC has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AIB Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AIB Group PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AIB Group PLC has an alpha of 0.0998, implying that it can generate a 0.0998 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AIB Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AIB Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIB Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AIB Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AIB Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AIB Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AIB Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AIB Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
AIB Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AIB Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AIB Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AIB Group PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AIB Group PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| AIB Group PLC has accumulated about 49.26 B in cash with (1.84 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 18.43, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AIB Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AIB OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AIB Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AIB Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B |
AIB Group Technical Analysis
AIB Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AIB OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AIB Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing AIB OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AIB Group Predictive Forecast Models
AIB Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many AIB Group's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AIB Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AIB Group PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about AIB Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AIB Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AIB Group PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| AIB Group PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| AIB Group PLC has accumulated about 49.26 B in cash with (1.84 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 18.43, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Other Consideration for investing in AIB OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in AIB Group PLC check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the AIB Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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