Alternative Investment Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.88

AIKO Stock  USD 1.88  0.00  0.00%   
Alternative Investment's future price is the expected price of Alternative Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alternative Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alternative Investment Backtesting, Alternative Investment Valuation, Alternative Investment Correlation, Alternative Investment Hype Analysis, Alternative Investment Volatility, Alternative Investment History as well as Alternative Investment Performance.
  
Please specify Alternative Investment's target price for which you would like Alternative Investment odds to be computed.

Alternative Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 1.88

The tendency of Alternative Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1.88 90 days 1.88 
about 62.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternative Investment to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 62.17 (This Alternative Investment probability density function shows the probability of Alternative Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alternative Investment has a beta of -2.28. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Alternative Investment are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Alternative Investment is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Alternative Investment has an alpha of 0.7991, implying that it can generate a 0.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alternative Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alternative Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternative Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.8814.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.4213.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.6014.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.881.881.88
Details

Alternative Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternative Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternative Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternative Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternative Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.80
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Alternative Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternative Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternative Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alternative Investment is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Alternative Investment may become a speculative penny stock
Alternative Investment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Alternative Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (375.48 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Alternative Investment currently holds about 1.95 K in cash with (306.75 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alternative Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alternative Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alternative Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alternative Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding432 K
Cash And Short Term Investments3220.00

Alternative Investment Technical Analysis

Alternative Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alternative Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alternative Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alternative Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alternative Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Alternative Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alternative Investment's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alternative Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alternative Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternative Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternative Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alternative Investment is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Alternative Investment may become a speculative penny stock
Alternative Investment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Alternative Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (375.48 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Alternative Investment currently holds about 1.95 K in cash with (306.75 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Alternative Pink Sheet

Alternative Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alternative Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alternative with respect to the benefits of owning Alternative Investment security.