Akbar Indomakmur (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 446.41
| AIMS Stock | IDR 446.00 30.00 7.21% |
Akbar |
Akbar Indomakmur Target Price Odds to finish below 446.41
The tendency of Akbar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 446.41 after 90 days |
| 446.00 | 90 days | 446.41 | about 25.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akbar Indomakmur to stay under 446.41 after 90 days from now is about 25.24 (This Akbar Indomakmur Stimec probability density function shows the probability of Akbar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akbar Indomakmur Stimec price to stay between its current price of 446.00 and 446.41 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This suggests Akbar Indomakmur Stimec market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Akbar Indomakmur is expected to follow. Additionally Akbar Indomakmur Stimec has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Akbar Indomakmur Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akbar Indomakmur
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akbar Indomakmur Stimec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Akbar Indomakmur Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akbar Indomakmur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akbar Indomakmur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akbar Indomakmur Stimec, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akbar Indomakmur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 48.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Akbar Indomakmur Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akbar Indomakmur for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akbar Indomakmur Stimec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akbar Indomakmur generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Akbar Indomakmur has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Akbar Indomakmur until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Akbar Indomakmur's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Akbar Indomakmur Stimec sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Akbar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Akbar Indomakmur's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Akbar Indomakmur Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akbar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akbar Indomakmur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akbar Indomakmur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 842 M | |
| Shares Float | 38.9 M |
Akbar Indomakmur Technical Analysis
Akbar Indomakmur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akbar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akbar Indomakmur Stimec. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akbar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akbar Indomakmur Predictive Forecast Models
Akbar Indomakmur's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akbar Indomakmur's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akbar Indomakmur's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akbar Indomakmur Stimec
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akbar Indomakmur for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akbar Indomakmur Stimec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akbar Indomakmur generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Akbar Indomakmur has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Akbar Indomakmur until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Akbar Indomakmur's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Akbar Indomakmur Stimec sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Akbar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Akbar Indomakmur's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Akbar Stock
Akbar Indomakmur financial ratios help investors to determine whether Akbar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Akbar with respect to the benefits of owning Akbar Indomakmur security.