Alternative Investment (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.45
| AIQ Stock | 1.44 0.01 0.69% |
Alternative |
Alternative Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 1.45
The tendency of Alternative Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1.45 or more in 90 days |
| 1.44 | 90 days | 1.45 | about 19.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternative Investment to move over 1.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.79 (This Alternative Investment Trust probability density function shows the probability of Alternative Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alternative Investment price to stay between its current price of 1.44 and 1.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alternative Investment Trust has a beta of -0.55. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alternative Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alternative Investment Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alternative Investment Trust has an alpha of 0.2783, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alternative Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alternative Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternative Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alternative Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternative Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternative Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternative Investment Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternative Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Alternative Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternative Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternative Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alternative Investment may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Alternative Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (184 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.37 M. | |
| Alternative Investment generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Alternative Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alternative Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alternative Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alternative Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.5 M |
Alternative Investment Technical Analysis
Alternative Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alternative Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alternative Investment Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alternative Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alternative Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Alternative Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alternative Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alternative Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alternative Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternative Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternative Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alternative Investment may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Alternative Investment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (184 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.37 M. | |
| Alternative Investment generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Alternative Stock Analysis
When running Alternative Investment's price analysis, check to measure Alternative Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alternative Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Alternative Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alternative Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alternative Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alternative Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.