Lair Liquide Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 164.34
| AIQUF Stock | USD 166.99 1.18 0.71% |
LAir |
LAir Liquide Target Price Odds to finish over 164.34
The tendency of LAir Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 164.34 in 90 days |
| 166.99 | 90 days | 164.34 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LAir Liquide to stay above $ 164.34 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This LAir Liquide SA probability density function shows the probability of LAir Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LAir Liquide SA price to stay between $ 164.34 and its current price of $166.99 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon LAir Liquide has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, LAir Liquide average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LAir Liquide SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LAir Liquide SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LAir Liquide Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LAir Liquide
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LAir Liquide SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LAir Liquide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LAir Liquide Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LAir Liquide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LAir Liquide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LAir Liquide SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LAir Liquide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
LAir Liquide Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LAir Liquide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LAir Liquide SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LAir Liquide SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LAir Liquide SA has accumulated 10.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. LAir Liquide SA has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LAir Liquide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LAir Liquide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LAir Liquide SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LAir to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LAir Liquide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
LAir Liquide Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LAir Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LAir Liquide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LAir Liquide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 474.1 M |
LAir Liquide Technical Analysis
LAir Liquide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LAir Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LAir Liquide SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing LAir Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LAir Liquide Predictive Forecast Models
LAir Liquide's time-series forecasting models is one of many LAir Liquide's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LAir Liquide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LAir Liquide SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about LAir Liquide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LAir Liquide SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LAir Liquide SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LAir Liquide SA has accumulated 10.43 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. LAir Liquide SA has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LAir Liquide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LAir Liquide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LAir Liquide SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LAir to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LAir Liquide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in LAir Pink Sheet
LAir Liquide financial ratios help investors to determine whether LAir Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LAir with respect to the benefits of owning LAir Liquide security.