Airbnb (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.8
| AIRB34 Stock | BRL 40.96 0.01 0.02% |
Airbnb |
Airbnb Target Price Odds to finish below 41.8
The tendency of Airbnb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 41.80 after 90 days |
| 40.96 | 90 days | 41.80 | over 95.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Airbnb to stay under R$ 41.80 after 90 days from now is over 95.74 (This Airbnb Inc probability density function shows the probability of Airbnb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Airbnb Inc price to stay between its current price of R$ 40.96 and R$ 41.80 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Airbnb Inc has a beta of -0.0997. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Airbnb are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Airbnb Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Airbnb Inc has an alpha of 0.3839, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Airbnb Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Airbnb
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airbnb Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Airbnb Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Airbnb is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Airbnb's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Airbnb Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Airbnb within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Airbnb Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Airbnb for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Airbnb Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Airbnb Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (352.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 B. |
Airbnb Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Airbnb Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Airbnb's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Airbnb's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 635.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.3 B |
Airbnb Technical Analysis
Airbnb's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Airbnb Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Airbnb Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Airbnb Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Airbnb Predictive Forecast Models
Airbnb's time-series forecasting models is one of many Airbnb's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Airbnb's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Airbnb Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Airbnb for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Airbnb Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Airbnb Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (352.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 B. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Airbnb Stock
When determining whether Airbnb Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Airbnb's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Airbnb Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Airbnb Inc Stock:Check out Airbnb Backtesting, Airbnb Valuation, Airbnb Correlation, Airbnb Hype Analysis, Airbnb Volatility, Airbnb History as well as Airbnb Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.