Realpha Tech Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.94

AIRE Stock   1.16  0.11  10.48%   
ReAlpha Tech's future price is the expected price of ReAlpha Tech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of reAlpha Tech Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ReAlpha Tech Backtesting, ReAlpha Tech Valuation, ReAlpha Tech Correlation, ReAlpha Tech Hype Analysis, ReAlpha Tech Volatility, ReAlpha Tech History as well as ReAlpha Tech Performance.
  
At present, ReAlpha Tech's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 3.61, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (47.51). Please specify ReAlpha Tech's target price for which you would like ReAlpha Tech odds to be computed.

ReAlpha Tech Target Price Odds to finish over 12.94

The tendency of ReAlpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  12.94  or more in 90 days
 1.16 90 days 12.94 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ReAlpha Tech to move over  12.94  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This reAlpha Tech Corp probability density function shows the probability of ReAlpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of reAlpha Tech Corp price to stay between its current price of  1.16  and  12.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.62 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ReAlpha Tech has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ReAlpha Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding reAlpha Tech Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ReAlpha Tech Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ReAlpha Tech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ReAlpha Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as reAlpha Tech Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.054.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.525.06
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.04-0.04-0.04
Details

ReAlpha Tech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ReAlpha Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ReAlpha Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold reAlpha Tech Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ReAlpha Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

ReAlpha Tech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ReAlpha Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for reAlpha Tech Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
reAlpha Tech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
reAlpha Tech Corp may become a speculative penny stock
reAlpha Tech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 182.53 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
ReAlpha Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
reAlpha Tech Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: reAlpha Tech acquires USRealty, invests in Unreal Estate

ReAlpha Tech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ReAlpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ReAlpha Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ReAlpha Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.5 M

ReAlpha Tech Technical Analysis

ReAlpha Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ReAlpha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of reAlpha Tech Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing ReAlpha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ReAlpha Tech Predictive Forecast Models

ReAlpha Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many ReAlpha Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ReAlpha Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about reAlpha Tech Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about ReAlpha Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for reAlpha Tech Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
reAlpha Tech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
reAlpha Tech Corp may become a speculative penny stock
reAlpha Tech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 182.53 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
ReAlpha Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
reAlpha Tech Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: reAlpha Tech acquires USRealty, invests in Unreal Estate
When determining whether reAlpha Tech Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze ReAlpha Tech's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ReAlpha Tech's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ReAlpha Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ReAlpha Tech. If investors know ReAlpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ReAlpha Tech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.05)
Revenue Per Share
0.002
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.137
The market value of reAlpha Tech Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ReAlpha that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ReAlpha Tech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ReAlpha Tech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ReAlpha Tech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ReAlpha Tech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ReAlpha Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ReAlpha Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ReAlpha Tech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.