AJ Bell (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 469.16
| AJB Stock | 474.50 1.50 0.32% |
AJB |
AJ Bell Target Price Odds to finish below 469.16
The tendency of AJB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 469.16 or more in 90 days |
| 474.50 | 90 days | 469.16 | about 90.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AJ Bell to drop to 469.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.28 (This AJ Bell plc probability density function shows the probability of AJB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AJ Bell plc price to stay between 469.16 and its current price of 474.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AJ Bell plc has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AJ Bell are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AJ Bell plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AJ Bell plc has an alpha of 0.1595, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AJ Bell Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AJ Bell
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AJ Bell plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AJ Bell Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AJ Bell is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AJ Bell's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AJ Bell plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AJ Bell within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
AJ Bell Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AJ Bell for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AJ Bell plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AJ Bell plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AJ Bell shareholders have earned a 72 percent return over the last year - Yahoo Finance |
AJ Bell Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AJB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AJ Bell's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AJ Bell's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 412.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 146.3 M |
AJ Bell Technical Analysis
AJ Bell's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AJB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AJ Bell plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing AJB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AJ Bell Predictive Forecast Models
AJ Bell's time-series forecasting models is one of many AJ Bell's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AJ Bell's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AJ Bell plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about AJ Bell for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AJ Bell plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AJ Bell plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AJ Bell shareholders have earned a 72 percent return over the last year - Yahoo Finance |
Other Information on Investing in AJB Stock
AJ Bell financial ratios help investors to determine whether AJB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AJB with respect to the benefits of owning AJ Bell security.