Akenerji Elektrik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.73

AKENR Stock  TRY 11.45  0.03  0.26%   
Akenerji Elektrik's future price is the expected price of Akenerji Elektrik instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Akenerji Elektrik Backtesting, Akenerji Elektrik Valuation, Akenerji Elektrik Correlation, Akenerji Elektrik Hype Analysis, Akenerji Elektrik Volatility, Akenerji Elektrik History as well as Akenerji Elektrik Performance.
  
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Akenerji Elektrik Target Price Odds to finish over 19.73

The tendency of Akenerji Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  19.73  or more in 90 days
 11.45 90 days 19.73 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akenerji Elektrik to move over  19.73  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Akenerji Elektrik Uretim probability density function shows the probability of Akenerji Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim price to stay between its current price of  11.45  and  19.73  at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akenerji Elektrik has a beta of 0.004. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Akenerji Elektrik average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Akenerji Elektrik Uretim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Akenerji Elektrik Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Akenerji Elektrik

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akenerji Elektrik Uretim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.7811.4514.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2811.9514.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.6011.2713.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1911.4311.67
Details

Akenerji Elektrik Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akenerji Elektrik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akenerji Elektrik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akenerji Elektrik Uretim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akenerji Elektrik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Akenerji Elektrik Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akenerji Elektrik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akenerji Elektrik Uretim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Akenerji Elektrik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has accumulated 8.59 B in total debt. Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Akenerji Elektrik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Akenerji Elektrik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Akenerji Elektrik Uretim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Akenerji to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Akenerji Elektrik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.92 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 600.82 M.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Akenerji Elektrik Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akenerji Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akenerji Elektrik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akenerji Elektrik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding729.2 M

Akenerji Elektrik Technical Analysis

Akenerji Elektrik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akenerji Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akenerji Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Akenerji Elektrik Predictive Forecast Models

Akenerji Elektrik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akenerji Elektrik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akenerji Elektrik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Akenerji Elektrik Uretim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Akenerji Elektrik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akenerji Elektrik Uretim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Akenerji Elektrik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has accumulated 8.59 B in total debt. Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Akenerji Elektrik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Akenerji Elektrik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Akenerji Elektrik Uretim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Akenerji to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Akenerji Elektrik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.92 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 600.82 M.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Akenerji Stock

Akenerji Elektrik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Akenerji Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Akenerji with respect to the benefits of owning Akenerji Elektrik security.