Akenerji Elektrik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.19
| AKENR Stock | TRY 11.45 0.03 0.26% |
Akenerji |
Akenerji Elektrik Target Price Odds to finish below 4.19
The tendency of Akenerji Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.19 or more in 90 days |
| 11.45 | 90 days | 4.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akenerji Elektrik to drop to 4.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Akenerji Elektrik Uretim probability density function shows the probability of Akenerji Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim price to stay between 4.19 and its current price of 11.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akenerji Elektrik has a beta of 0.004. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Akenerji Elektrik average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Akenerji Elektrik Uretim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Akenerji Elektrik Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akenerji Elektrik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akenerji Elektrik Uretim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Akenerji Elektrik Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akenerji Elektrik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akenerji Elektrik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akenerji Elektrik Uretim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akenerji Elektrik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Akenerji Elektrik Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akenerji Elektrik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akenerji Elektrik Uretim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akenerji Elektrik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has accumulated 8.59 B in total debt. Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Akenerji Elektrik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Akenerji Elektrik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Akenerji Elektrik Uretim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Akenerji to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Akenerji Elektrik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.92 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 600.82 M. | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Akenerji Elektrik Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akenerji Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akenerji Elektrik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akenerji Elektrik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 729.2 M |
Akenerji Elektrik Technical Analysis
Akenerji Elektrik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akenerji Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akenerji Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akenerji Elektrik Predictive Forecast Models
Akenerji Elektrik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akenerji Elektrik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akenerji Elektrik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akenerji Elektrik Uretim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akenerji Elektrik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akenerji Elektrik Uretim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akenerji Elektrik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has accumulated 8.59 B in total debt. Akenerji Elektrik Uretim has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Akenerji Elektrik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Akenerji Elektrik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Akenerji Elektrik Uretim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Akenerji to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Akenerji Elektrik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.92 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 600.82 M. | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Akenerji Stock
Akenerji Elektrik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Akenerji Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Akenerji with respect to the benefits of owning Akenerji Elektrik security.