Akfen Yenilenebilir (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.73
| AKFYE Stock | 18.85 0.15 0.79% |
Akfen |
Akfen Yenilenebilir Target Price Odds to finish below 16.73
The tendency of Akfen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 16.73 or more in 90 days |
| 18.85 | 90 days | 16.73 | about 10.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akfen Yenilenebilir to drop to 16.73 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.24 (This Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji probability density function shows the probability of Akfen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akfen Yenilenebilir price to stay between 16.73 and its current price of 18.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akfen Yenilenebilir has a beta of 0.008. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Akfen Yenilenebilir average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Akfen Yenilenebilir Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Akfen Yenilenebilir
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akfen Yenilenebilir. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Akfen Yenilenebilir's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Akfen Yenilenebilir Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akfen Yenilenebilir is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akfen Yenilenebilir's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akfen Yenilenebilir within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Akfen Yenilenebilir Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akfen Yenilenebilir for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akfen Yenilenebilir can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akfen Yenilenebilir generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Akfen Yenilenebilir Technical Analysis
Akfen Yenilenebilir's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akfen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akfen Yenilenebilir Enerji. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akfen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akfen Yenilenebilir Predictive Forecast Models
Akfen Yenilenebilir's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akfen Yenilenebilir's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akfen Yenilenebilir's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akfen Yenilenebilir
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akfen Yenilenebilir for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akfen Yenilenebilir help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akfen Yenilenebilir generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |