Aker Horizons (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.81
| AKH Stock | NOK 2.23 0.14 6.70% |
Aker |
Aker Horizons Target Price Odds to finish below 1.81
The tendency of Aker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.81 or more in 90 days |
| 2.23 | 90 days | 1.81 | about 7.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aker Horizons to drop to 1.81 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.86 (This Aker Horizons AS probability density function shows the probability of Aker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aker Horizons AS price to stay between 1.81 and its current price of 2.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aker Horizons AS has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aker Horizons are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aker Horizons AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aker Horizons AS has an alpha of 0.1109, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aker Horizons Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Aker Horizons
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aker Horizons AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aker Horizons Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aker Horizons is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aker Horizons' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aker Horizons AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aker Horizons within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Aker Horizons Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aker Horizons for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aker Horizons AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aker Horizons AS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Aker Horizons AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.95 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 286 M. | |
| Aker Horizons AS has accumulated about 5.41 B in cash with (1.83 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aker Horizons Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aker Horizons' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aker Horizons' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 609.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Aker Horizons Technical Analysis
Aker Horizons' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aker Horizons AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aker Horizons Predictive Forecast Models
Aker Horizons' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aker Horizons' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aker Horizons' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aker Horizons AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aker Horizons for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aker Horizons AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aker Horizons AS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Aker Horizons AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.95 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 286 M. | |
| Aker Horizons AS has accumulated about 5.41 B in cash with (1.83 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Aker Stock
Aker Horizons financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aker Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aker with respect to the benefits of owning Aker Horizons security.