Embotelladora Andina (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.0
| AKOB Stock | EUR 16.70 0.30 1.83% |
Embotelladora |
Embotelladora Andina Target Price Odds to finish below 16.0
The tendency of Embotelladora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 16.00 or more in 90 days |
| 16.70 | 90 days | 16.00 | about 54.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Embotelladora Andina to drop to € 16.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 54.92 (This Embotelladora Andina SA probability density function shows the probability of Embotelladora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Embotelladora Andina price to stay between € 16.00 and its current price of €16.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Embotelladora Andina has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Embotelladora Andina average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Embotelladora Andina SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Embotelladora Andina SA has an alpha of 0.1204, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Embotelladora Andina Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Embotelladora Andina
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Embotelladora Andina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Embotelladora Andina Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Embotelladora Andina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Embotelladora Andina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Embotelladora Andina SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Embotelladora Andina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Embotelladora Andina Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Embotelladora Andina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Embotelladora Andina can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Embotelladora Andina had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Embotelladora Andina has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Embotelladora Andina Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Embotelladora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Embotelladora Andina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Embotelladora Andina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 946.6 M |
Embotelladora Andina Technical Analysis
Embotelladora Andina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Embotelladora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Embotelladora Andina SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Embotelladora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Embotelladora Andina Predictive Forecast Models
Embotelladora Andina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Embotelladora Andina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Embotelladora Andina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Embotelladora Andina
Checking the ongoing alerts about Embotelladora Andina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Embotelladora Andina help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Embotelladora Andina had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Embotelladora Andina has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Other Information on Investing in Embotelladora Stock
Embotelladora Andina financial ratios help investors to determine whether Embotelladora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Embotelladora with respect to the benefits of owning Embotelladora Andina security.