Akkhie Prakarn (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 128.75

AKP Stock  THB 0.69  0.05  6.76%   
Akkhie Prakarn's future price is the expected price of Akkhie Prakarn instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Akkhie Prakarn Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Akkhie Prakarn Backtesting, Akkhie Prakarn Valuation, Akkhie Prakarn Correlation, Akkhie Prakarn Hype Analysis, Akkhie Prakarn Volatility, Akkhie Prakarn History as well as Akkhie Prakarn Performance.
  
Please specify Akkhie Prakarn's target price for which you would like Akkhie Prakarn odds to be computed.

Akkhie Prakarn Target Price Odds to finish over 128.75

The tendency of Akkhie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  128.75  or more in 90 days
 0.69 90 days 128.75 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akkhie Prakarn to move over  128.75  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Akkhie Prakarn Public probability density function shows the probability of Akkhie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akkhie Prakarn Public price to stay between its current price of  0.69  and  128.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akkhie Prakarn Public has a beta of -16.37. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Akkhie Prakarn Public are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Akkhie Prakarn is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Akkhie Prakarn Public has an alpha of 16.2948, implying that it can generate a 16.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Akkhie Prakarn Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Akkhie Prakarn

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akkhie Prakarn Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.6985.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.5385.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.66127.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.670.810.96
Details

Akkhie Prakarn Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akkhie Prakarn is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akkhie Prakarn's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akkhie Prakarn Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akkhie Prakarn within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
16.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-16.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Akkhie Prakarn Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akkhie Prakarn for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akkhie Prakarn Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Akkhie Prakarn is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Akkhie Prakarn has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Akkhie Prakarn appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Akkhie Prakarn Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akkhie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akkhie Prakarn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akkhie Prakarn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding404 M

Akkhie Prakarn Technical Analysis

Akkhie Prakarn's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akkhie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akkhie Prakarn Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akkhie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Akkhie Prakarn Predictive Forecast Models

Akkhie Prakarn's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akkhie Prakarn's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akkhie Prakarn's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Akkhie Prakarn Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Akkhie Prakarn for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akkhie Prakarn Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Akkhie Prakarn is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Akkhie Prakarn has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Akkhie Prakarn appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Akkhie Stock

Akkhie Prakarn financial ratios help investors to determine whether Akkhie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Akkhie with respect to the benefits of owning Akkhie Prakarn security.