Maming Enam (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 342.82

AKSI Stock  IDR 406.00  4.00  1.00%   
Maming Enam's future price is the expected price of Maming Enam instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maming Enam Sembilan performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maming Enam Backtesting, Maming Enam Valuation, Maming Enam Correlation, Maming Enam Hype Analysis, Maming Enam Volatility, Maming Enam History as well as Maming Enam Performance.
  
Please specify Maming Enam's target price for which you would like Maming Enam odds to be computed.

Maming Enam Target Price Odds to finish below 342.82

The tendency of Maming Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  342.82  or more in 90 days
 406.00 90 days 342.82 
about 36.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maming Enam to drop to  342.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.39 (This Maming Enam Sembilan probability density function shows the probability of Maming Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maming Enam Sembilan price to stay between  342.82  and its current price of 406.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maming Enam Sembilan has a beta of -1.41. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Maming Enam Sembilan are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Maming Enam is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Maming Enam Sembilan has an alpha of 2.6606, implying that it can generate a 2.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Maming Enam Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maming Enam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maming Enam Sembilan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
394.55406.00417.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
342.82354.27446.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
494.77506.22517.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
400.90404.67408.44
Details

Maming Enam Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maming Enam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maming Enam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maming Enam Sembilan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maming Enam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.41
σ
Overall volatility
149.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Maming Enam Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maming Enam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maming Enam Sembilan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maming Enam Sembilan is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Maming Enam Sembilan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Maming Enam Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maming Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maming Enam's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maming Enam's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding720 M
Cash And Short Term Investments87.7 B

Maming Enam Technical Analysis

Maming Enam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maming Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maming Enam Sembilan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maming Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maming Enam Predictive Forecast Models

Maming Enam's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maming Enam's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maming Enam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maming Enam Sembilan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maming Enam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maming Enam Sembilan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maming Enam Sembilan is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Maming Enam Sembilan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Maming Stock

Maming Enam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maming Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maming with respect to the benefits of owning Maming Enam security.