Akzo Nobel (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.62
| AKZA Stock | EUR 55.16 0.18 0.33% |
Akzo |
Akzo Nobel Target Price Odds to finish below 53.62
The tendency of Akzo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 53.62 or more in 90 days |
| 55.16 | 90 days | 53.62 | about 1.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akzo Nobel to drop to € 53.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.79 (This Akzo Nobel NV probability density function shows the probability of Akzo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akzo Nobel NV price to stay between € 53.62 and its current price of €55.16 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akzo Nobel NV has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Akzo Nobel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Akzo Nobel NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Akzo Nobel NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Akzo Nobel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akzo Nobel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akzo Nobel NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Akzo Nobel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akzo Nobel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akzo Nobel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akzo Nobel NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akzo Nobel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Akzo Nobel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akzo Nobel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akzo Nobel NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akzo Nobel NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Akzo Nobel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akzo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akzo Nobel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akzo Nobel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 181.6 M |
Akzo Nobel Technical Analysis
Akzo Nobel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akzo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akzo Nobel NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akzo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akzo Nobel Predictive Forecast Models
Akzo Nobel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akzo Nobel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akzo Nobel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akzo Nobel NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akzo Nobel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akzo Nobel NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akzo Nobel NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Tools for Akzo Stock Analysis
When running Akzo Nobel's price analysis, check to measure Akzo Nobel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Akzo Nobel is operating at the current time. Most of Akzo Nobel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Akzo Nobel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Akzo Nobel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Akzo Nobel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.