Astera Labs, Common Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 86.45
| ALAB Stock | 87.85 0.34 0.39% |
Closest to current price Astera long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Astera |
Astera Labs, Target Price Odds to finish below 86.45
The tendency of Astera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 86.45 or more in 90 days |
| 87.85 | 90 days | 86.45 | about 6.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astera Labs, to drop to 86.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.6 (This Astera Labs, Common probability density function shows the probability of Astera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Astera Labs, Common price to stay between 86.45 and its current price of 87.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This suggests Astera Labs, Common market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Astera Labs, is expected to follow. Additionally Astera Labs, Common has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Astera Labs, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Astera Labs,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astera Labs, Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Astera Labs, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astera Labs, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astera Labs,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astera Labs, Common, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astera Labs, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0061 |
Astera Labs, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astera Labs, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astera Labs, Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Astera Labs, Common had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 115.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 302.7 M. | |
| Astera Labs, generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Astera Labs, Common has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SUMMIT PARTNERS PUBLIC ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC Acquires Additional Shares in GeneDx Holdings Corp |
Astera Labs, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Astera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Astera Labs,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astera Labs,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 149.3 M |
Astera Labs, Technical Analysis
Astera Labs,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Astera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Astera Labs, Common. In general, you should focus on analyzing Astera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Astera Labs, Predictive Forecast Models
Astera Labs,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Astera Labs,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Astera Labs,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Astera Labs, Common
Checking the ongoing alerts about Astera Labs, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Astera Labs, Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Astera Labs, Common had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 115.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 302.7 M. | |
| Astera Labs, generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Astera Labs, Common has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SUMMIT PARTNERS PUBLIC ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC Acquires Additional Shares in GeneDx Holdings Corp |
Check out Astera Labs, Backtesting, Astera Labs, Valuation, Astera Labs, Correlation, Astera Labs, Hype Analysis, Astera Labs, Volatility, Astera Labs, History as well as Astera Labs, Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astera Labs,. If investors know Astera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Astera Labs, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | Earnings Share (0.64) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.793 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Astera Labs, Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astera Labs,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astera Labs,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astera Labs,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astera Labs,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astera Labs,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astera Labs, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astera Labs,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.