Agrogeneration (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0416
| ALAGR Stock | EUR 0.04 0.0008 1.75% |
Agrogeneration |
Agrogeneration Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0416
The tendency of Agrogeneration Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.04 in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agrogeneration to stay above € 0.04 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Agrogeneration probability density function shows the probability of Agrogeneration Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agrogeneration price to stay between € 0.04 and its current price of €0.045 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Agrogeneration has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Agrogeneration are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Agrogeneration is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Agrogeneration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Agrogeneration Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agrogeneration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agrogeneration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agrogeneration Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agrogeneration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agrogeneration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agrogeneration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agrogeneration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Agrogeneration Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agrogeneration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agrogeneration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agrogeneration generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agrogeneration has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Agrogeneration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Agrogeneration has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Agrogeneration has accumulated 14.75 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 115.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Agrogeneration has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Agrogeneration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Agrogeneration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Agrogeneration sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Agrogeneration to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Agrogeneration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of Agrogeneration shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Agrogeneration Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agrogeneration Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agrogeneration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agrogeneration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 226.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 M |
Agrogeneration Technical Analysis
Agrogeneration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agrogeneration Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agrogeneration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agrogeneration Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agrogeneration Predictive Forecast Models
Agrogeneration's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agrogeneration's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agrogeneration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agrogeneration
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agrogeneration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agrogeneration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agrogeneration generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agrogeneration has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Agrogeneration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Agrogeneration has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Agrogeneration has accumulated 14.75 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 115.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Agrogeneration has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Agrogeneration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Agrogeneration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Agrogeneration sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Agrogeneration to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Agrogeneration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of Agrogeneration shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Tools for Agrogeneration Stock Analysis
When running Agrogeneration's price analysis, check to measure Agrogeneration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agrogeneration is operating at the current time. Most of Agrogeneration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agrogeneration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agrogeneration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agrogeneration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.