EEducation Albert (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.43

ALBERT Stock   3.69  0.01  0.27%   
EEducation Albert's future price is the expected price of EEducation Albert instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of eEducation Albert AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EEducation Albert Backtesting, EEducation Albert Valuation, EEducation Albert Correlation, EEducation Albert Hype Analysis, EEducation Albert Volatility, EEducation Albert History as well as EEducation Albert Performance.
  
Please specify EEducation Albert's target price for which you would like EEducation Albert odds to be computed.

EEducation Albert Target Price Odds to finish below 1.43

The tendency of EEducation Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.43  or more in 90 days
 3.69 90 days 1.43 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EEducation Albert to drop to  1.43  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This eEducation Albert AB probability density function shows the probability of EEducation Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of eEducation Albert price to stay between  1.43  and its current price of 3.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon eEducation Albert AB has a beta of -0.0994. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding EEducation Albert are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, eEducation Albert AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally EEducation Albert AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EEducation Albert Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EEducation Albert

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as eEducation Albert. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.963.695.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.443.174.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.973.705.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.623.723.81
Details

EEducation Albert Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EEducation Albert is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EEducation Albert's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold eEducation Albert AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EEducation Albert within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

EEducation Albert Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EEducation Albert for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for eEducation Albert can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
eEducation Albert generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
eEducation Albert has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 62.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (57.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.48 M.
EEducation Albert generates negative cash flow from operations
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

EEducation Albert Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EEducation Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EEducation Albert's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EEducation Albert's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments251.5 M

EEducation Albert Technical Analysis

EEducation Albert's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EEducation Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of eEducation Albert AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing EEducation Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EEducation Albert Predictive Forecast Models

EEducation Albert's time-series forecasting models is one of many EEducation Albert's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EEducation Albert's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about eEducation Albert

Checking the ongoing alerts about EEducation Albert for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for eEducation Albert help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
eEducation Albert generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
eEducation Albert has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 62.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (57.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.48 M.
EEducation Albert generates negative cash flow from operations
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in EEducation Stock

EEducation Albert financial ratios help investors to determine whether EEducation Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EEducation with respect to the benefits of owning EEducation Albert security.