Obiz Concept (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.08
| ALBIZ Stock | 4.52 0.04 0.88% |
Obiz |
Obiz Concept Target Price Odds to finish below 5.08
The tendency of Obiz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 5.08 after 90 days |
| 4.52 | 90 days | 5.08 | about 34.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Obiz Concept to stay under 5.08 after 90 days from now is about 34.2 (This Obiz Concept SAS probability density function shows the probability of Obiz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Obiz Concept SAS price to stay between its current price of 4.52 and 5.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Obiz Concept has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Obiz Concept average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Obiz Concept SAS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Obiz Concept SAS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Obiz Concept Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Obiz Concept
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Obiz Concept SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Obiz Concept. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Obiz Concept's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Obiz Concept's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Obiz Concept SAS.Obiz Concept Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Obiz Concept is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Obiz Concept's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Obiz Concept SAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Obiz Concept within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Obiz Concept Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Obiz Concept for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Obiz Concept SAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Obiz Concept SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Obiz Concept Technical Analysis
Obiz Concept's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Obiz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Obiz Concept SAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Obiz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Obiz Concept Predictive Forecast Models
Obiz Concept's time-series forecasting models is one of many Obiz Concept's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Obiz Concept's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Obiz Concept SAS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Obiz Concept for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Obiz Concept SAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Obiz Concept SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Obiz Stock Analysis
When running Obiz Concept's price analysis, check to measure Obiz Concept's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Obiz Concept is operating at the current time. Most of Obiz Concept's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Obiz Concept's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Obiz Concept's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Obiz Concept to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.