Baikowski SASU (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.23

ALBKK Stock  EUR 16.40  0.20  1.20%   
Baikowski SASU's future price is the expected price of Baikowski SASU instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baikowski SASU performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baikowski SASU Backtesting, Baikowski SASU Valuation, Baikowski SASU Correlation, Baikowski SASU Hype Analysis, Baikowski SASU Volatility, Baikowski SASU History as well as Baikowski SASU Performance.
  
Please specify Baikowski SASU's target price for which you would like Baikowski SASU odds to be computed.

Baikowski SASU Target Price Odds to finish below 14.23

The tendency of Baikowski Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 14.23  or more in 90 days
 16.40 90 days 14.23 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baikowski SASU to drop to € 14.23  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Baikowski SASU probability density function shows the probability of Baikowski Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baikowski SASU price to stay between € 14.23  and its current price of €16.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baikowski SASU has a beta of 0.0551. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Baikowski SASU average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baikowski SASU will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baikowski SASU has an alpha of 0.075, implying that it can generate a 0.075 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baikowski SASU Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baikowski SASU

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baikowski SASU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1016.4018.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6913.9918.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1816.4818.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3216.5716.82
Details

Baikowski SASU Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baikowski SASU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baikowski SASU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baikowski SASU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baikowski SASU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.0083

Baikowski SASU Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baikowski Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baikowski SASU's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baikowski SASU's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.4 M

Baikowski SASU Technical Analysis

Baikowski SASU's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baikowski Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baikowski SASU. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baikowski Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baikowski SASU Predictive Forecast Models

Baikowski SASU's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baikowski SASU's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baikowski SASU's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Baikowski SASU in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Baikowski SASU's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Baikowski SASU options trading.

Additional Tools for Baikowski Stock Analysis

When running Baikowski SASU's price analysis, check to measure Baikowski SASU's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baikowski SASU is operating at the current time. Most of Baikowski SASU's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baikowski SASU's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baikowski SASU's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baikowski SASU to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.