Cogra 48 (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.40
| ALCOG Stock | EUR 5.88 0.04 0.68% |
Cogra |
Cogra 48 Target Price Odds to finish over 15.40
The tendency of Cogra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 15.40 or more in 90 days |
| 5.88 | 90 days | 15.40 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cogra 48 to move over € 15.40 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Cogra 48 Socit probability density function shows the probability of Cogra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cogra 48 Socit price to stay between its current price of € 5.88 and € 15.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cogra 48 Socit has a beta of -0.58. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cogra 48 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cogra 48 Socit is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cogra 48 Socit has an alpha of 0.1099, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cogra 48 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cogra 48
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cogra 48 Socit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cogra 48 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cogra 48 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cogra 48's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cogra 48 Socit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cogra 48 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Cogra 48 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cogra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cogra 48's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cogra 48's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 M |
Cogra 48 Technical Analysis
Cogra 48's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cogra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cogra 48 Socit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cogra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cogra 48 Predictive Forecast Models
Cogra 48's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cogra 48's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cogra 48's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Cogra 48 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Cogra 48's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Cogra 48 options trading.
Additional Tools for Cogra Stock Analysis
When running Cogra 48's price analysis, check to measure Cogra 48's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cogra 48 is operating at the current time. Most of Cogra 48's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cogra 48's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cogra 48's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cogra 48 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.