Coil SANV (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.34
| ALCOI Stock | EUR 3.25 0.01 0.31% |
Coil |
Coil SANV Target Price Odds to finish over 4.34
The tendency of Coil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 4.34 or more in 90 days |
| 3.25 | 90 days | 4.34 | about 36.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coil SANV to move over € 4.34 or more in 90 days from now is about 36.21 (This Coil SANV probability density function shows the probability of Coil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coil SANV price to stay between its current price of € 3.25 and € 4.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Coil SANV has a beta of -0.76. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Coil SANV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Coil SANV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Coil SANV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Coil SANV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Coil SANV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coil SANV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coil SANV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coil SANV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coil SANV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coil SANV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coil SANV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Coil SANV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coil SANV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coil SANV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Coil SANV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Coil SANV has accumulated 3.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Coil SANV has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Coil SANV until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Coil SANV's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Coil SANV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Coil to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Coil SANV's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 71.0% of Coil SANV shares are held by company insiders |
Coil SANV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coil SANV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coil SANV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Coil SANV Technical Analysis
Coil SANV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coil SANV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coil SANV Predictive Forecast Models
Coil SANV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coil SANV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coil SANV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Coil SANV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Coil SANV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coil SANV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Coil SANV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Coil SANV has accumulated 3.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Coil SANV has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Coil SANV until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Coil SANV's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Coil SANV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Coil to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Coil SANV's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 71.0% of Coil SANV shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Coil Stock Analysis
When running Coil SANV's price analysis, check to measure Coil SANV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coil SANV is operating at the current time. Most of Coil SANV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coil SANV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coil SANV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coil SANV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.