Charwood Energy (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.69
| ALCWE Stock | 2.84 0.02 0.71% |
Charwood |
Charwood Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 10.69
The tendency of Charwood Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.69 or more in 90 days |
| 2.84 | 90 days | 10.69 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Charwood Energy to move over 10.69 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Charwood Energy SA probability density function shows the probability of Charwood Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Charwood Energy SA price to stay between its current price of 2.84 and 10.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Charwood Energy has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Charwood Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Charwood Energy SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Charwood Energy SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Charwood Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Charwood Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Charwood Energy SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Charwood Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Charwood Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Charwood Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Charwood Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Charwood Energy SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Charwood Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Charwood Energy Technical Analysis
Charwood Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Charwood Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Charwood Energy SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Charwood Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Charwood Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Charwood Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Charwood Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Charwood Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Charwood Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Charwood Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Charwood Energy options trading.
Additional Tools for Charwood Stock Analysis
When running Charwood Energy's price analysis, check to measure Charwood Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Charwood Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Charwood Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Charwood Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Charwood Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Charwood Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.