Alchemy Investments Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.76
| ALCY Stock | 11.10 0.01 0.09% |
Alchemy |
Alchemy Investments Target Price Odds to finish over 12.76
The tendency of Alchemy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 12.76 or more in 90 days |
| 11.10 | 90 days | 12.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alchemy Investments to move over 12.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alchemy Investments Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Alchemy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alchemy Investments price to stay between its current price of 11.10 and 12.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alchemy Investments Acquisition has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alchemy Investments are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alchemy Investments Acquisition is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alchemy Investments Acquisition has an alpha of 0.0669, implying that it can generate a 0.0669 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alchemy Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alchemy Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alchemy Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alchemy Investments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alchemy Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alchemy Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alchemy Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alchemy Investments Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alchemy Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Alchemy Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alchemy Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alchemy Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alchemy Investments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Alchemy Investments has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AQR Capital Managements Strategic Acquisition in Alchemy Investments Acquisition Corp 1 |
Alchemy Investments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alchemy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alchemy Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alchemy Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 309.7 K |
Alchemy Investments Technical Analysis
Alchemy Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alchemy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alchemy Investments Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alchemy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alchemy Investments Predictive Forecast Models
Alchemy Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Alchemy Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alchemy Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alchemy Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alchemy Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alchemy Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alchemy Investments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Alchemy Investments has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AQR Capital Managements Strategic Acquisition in Alchemy Investments Acquisition Corp 1 |
Additional Tools for Alchemy Stock Analysis
When running Alchemy Investments' price analysis, check to measure Alchemy Investments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alchemy Investments is operating at the current time. Most of Alchemy Investments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alchemy Investments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alchemy Investments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alchemy Investments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.