Dolfines SAS (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| ALDOL Stock | EUR 2.30 0.56 19.58% |
Dolfines |
Dolfines SAS Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Dolfines Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 2.30 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dolfines SAS to drop to € 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dolfines SAS probability density function shows the probability of Dolfines Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dolfines SAS price to stay between € 0.02 and its current price of €2.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.34 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dolfines SAS will likely underperform. Additionally Dolfines SAS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dolfines SAS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dolfines SAS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dolfines SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dolfines SAS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dolfines SAS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dolfines SAS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dolfines SAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dolfines SAS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Dolfines SAS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dolfines SAS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dolfines SAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dolfines SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dolfines SAS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Dolfines SAS has accumulated 2.17 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 50.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dolfines SAS has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dolfines SAS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dolfines SAS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dolfines SAS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dolfines to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dolfines SAS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.12 M. |
Dolfines SAS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dolfines Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dolfines SAS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dolfines SAS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 212.6 K |
Dolfines SAS Technical Analysis
Dolfines SAS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dolfines Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dolfines SAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dolfines Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dolfines SAS Predictive Forecast Models
Dolfines SAS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dolfines SAS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dolfines SAS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dolfines SAS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dolfines SAS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dolfines SAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dolfines SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dolfines SAS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Dolfines SAS has accumulated 2.17 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 50.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dolfines SAS has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dolfines SAS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dolfines SAS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dolfines SAS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dolfines to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dolfines SAS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.12 M. |
Additional Tools for Dolfines Stock Analysis
When running Dolfines SAS's price analysis, check to measure Dolfines SAS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dolfines SAS is operating at the current time. Most of Dolfines SAS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dolfines SAS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dolfines SAS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dolfines SAS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.