Encres Dubuit (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.84
| ALDUB Stock | EUR 2.72 0.06 2.16% |
Encres |
Encres Dubuit Target Price Odds to finish over 14.84
The tendency of Encres Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 14.84 or more in 90 days |
| 2.72 | 90 days | 14.84 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Encres Dubuit to move over € 14.84 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Encres Dubuit SA probability density function shows the probability of Encres Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Encres Dubuit SA price to stay between its current price of € 2.72 and € 14.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Encres Dubuit SA has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Encres Dubuit are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Encres Dubuit SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Encres Dubuit SA has an alpha of 0.3495, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Encres Dubuit Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Encres Dubuit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Encres Dubuit SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Encres Dubuit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Encres Dubuit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Encres Dubuit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Encres Dubuit SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Encres Dubuit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Encres Dubuit Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Encres Dubuit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Encres Dubuit SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Encres Dubuit SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Encres Dubuit Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Encres Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Encres Dubuit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encres Dubuit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.3 M |
Encres Dubuit Technical Analysis
Encres Dubuit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Encres Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Encres Dubuit SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Encres Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Encres Dubuit Predictive Forecast Models
Encres Dubuit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Encres Dubuit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Encres Dubuit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Encres Dubuit SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Encres Dubuit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Encres Dubuit SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Encres Dubuit SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Encres Stock Analysis
When running Encres Dubuit's price analysis, check to measure Encres Dubuit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Encres Dubuit is operating at the current time. Most of Encres Dubuit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Encres Dubuit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Encres Dubuit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Encres Dubuit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.