Fountaine Pajo (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 85.95
| ALFPC Stock | EUR 98.60 1.40 1.44% |
Fountaine |
Fountaine Pajo Target Price Odds to finish below 85.95
The tendency of Fountaine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 85.95 or more in 90 days |
| 98.60 | 90 days | 85.95 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fountaine Pajo to drop to € 85.95 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fountaine Pajo probability density function shows the probability of Fountaine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fountaine Pajo price to stay between € 85.95 and its current price of €98.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fountaine Pajo has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fountaine Pajo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fountaine Pajo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fountaine Pajo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fountaine Pajo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fountaine Pajo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fountaine Pajo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fountaine Pajo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fountaine Pajo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fountaine Pajo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fountaine Pajo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fountaine Pajo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fountaine Pajo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Fountaine Pajo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fountaine Pajo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fountaine Pajo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fountaine Pajo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fountaine Pajo has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Fountaine Pajo has accumulated 22.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 107.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fountaine Pajo has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fountaine Pajo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fountaine Pajo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fountaine Pajo sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fountaine to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fountaine Pajo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 53.0% of Fountaine Pajo shares are held by company insiders |
Fountaine Pajo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fountaine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fountaine Pajo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fountaine Pajo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 139.4 M |
Fountaine Pajo Technical Analysis
Fountaine Pajo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fountaine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fountaine Pajo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fountaine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fountaine Pajo Predictive Forecast Models
Fountaine Pajo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fountaine Pajo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fountaine Pajo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fountaine Pajo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fountaine Pajo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fountaine Pajo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fountaine Pajo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fountaine Pajo has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Fountaine Pajo has accumulated 22.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 107.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fountaine Pajo has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fountaine Pajo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fountaine Pajo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fountaine Pajo sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fountaine to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fountaine Pajo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 53.0% of Fountaine Pajo shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Fountaine Stock Analysis
When running Fountaine Pajo's price analysis, check to measure Fountaine Pajo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fountaine Pajo is operating at the current time. Most of Fountaine Pajo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fountaine Pajo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fountaine Pajo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fountaine Pajo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.