Centurion Acquisition Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| ALFUW Stock | 0.13 0.03 30.00% |
Centurion |
Centurion Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Centurion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.13 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centurion Acquisition to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Centurion Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Centurion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Centurion Acquisition price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 0.13 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Centurion Acquisition Corp has a beta of -3.52. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Centurion Acquisition Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Centurion Acquisition is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Centurion Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 1.048, implying that it can generate a 1.05 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Centurion Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Centurion Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centurion Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Centurion Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Centurion Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Centurion Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Centurion Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Centurion Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Centurion Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Centurion Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Centurion Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Centurion Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Centurion Acquisition is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Centurion Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Centurion Acquisition appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: First Trust Capital Management L.P. Acquires New Stake in Centur - GuruFocus.com |
Centurion Acquisition Technical Analysis
Centurion Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Centurion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Centurion Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Centurion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Centurion Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Centurion Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Centurion Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Centurion Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Centurion Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Centurion Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Centurion Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Centurion Acquisition is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Centurion Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Centurion Acquisition appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: First Trust Capital Management L.P. Acquires New Stake in Centur - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Centurion Stock Analysis
When running Centurion Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Centurion Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centurion Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Centurion Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centurion Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centurion Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centurion Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.