GECI International (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.64
| ALGEC Stock | EUR 2.75 0.01 0.36% |
GECI |
GECI International Target Price Odds to finish over 2.64
The tendency of GECI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 2.64 in 90 days |
| 2.75 | 90 days | 2.64 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GECI International to stay above € 2.64 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This GECI International SA probability density function shows the probability of GECI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GECI International price to stay between € 2.64 and its current price of €2.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GECI International SA has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GECI International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GECI International SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GECI International SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GECI International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GECI International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GECI International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GECI International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GECI International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GECI International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GECI International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GECI International SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GECI International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
GECI International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GECI International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GECI International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GECI International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GECI International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| GECI International SA has accumulated 4.33 M in total debt. GECI International has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GECI International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GECI International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GECI International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GECI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GECI International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 18.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.37 M. | |
| GECI International SA has accumulated about 804 K in cash with (1.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
GECI International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GECI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GECI International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GECI International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 425.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 804 K |
GECI International Technical Analysis
GECI International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GECI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GECI International SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing GECI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GECI International Predictive Forecast Models
GECI International's time-series forecasting models is one of many GECI International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GECI International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GECI International
Checking the ongoing alerts about GECI International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GECI International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GECI International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GECI International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| GECI International SA has accumulated 4.33 M in total debt. GECI International has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GECI International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GECI International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GECI International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GECI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GECI International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 18.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.37 M. | |
| GECI International SA has accumulated about 804 K in cash with (1.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for GECI Stock Analysis
When running GECI International's price analysis, check to measure GECI International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GECI International is operating at the current time. Most of GECI International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GECI International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GECI International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GECI International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.