HF Company (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.14
| ALHF Stock | 4.51 0.01 0.22% |
ALHF |
HF Company Target Price Odds to finish below 5.14
The tendency of ALHF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 5.14 after 90 days |
| 4.51 | 90 days | 5.14 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HF Company to stay under 5.14 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This HF Company SA probability density function shows the probability of ALHF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HF Company SA price to stay between its current price of 4.51 and 5.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HF Company has a beta of 0.38. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HF Company average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HF Company SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HF Company SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HF Company Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HF Company
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HF Company SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HF Company Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HF Company is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HF Company's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HF Company SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HF Company within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
HF Company Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HF Company for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HF Company SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HF Company SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
HF Company Technical Analysis
HF Company's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALHF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HF Company SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALHF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HF Company Predictive Forecast Models
HF Company's time-series forecasting models is one of many HF Company's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HF Company's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HF Company SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about HF Company for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HF Company SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HF Company SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |