Hoffmann Green (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.00

ALHGR Stock  EUR 5.00  0.60  13.64%   
Hoffmann Green's future price is the expected price of Hoffmann Green instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hoffmann Green Cement performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hoffmann Green Backtesting, Hoffmann Green Valuation, Hoffmann Green Correlation, Hoffmann Green Hype Analysis, Hoffmann Green Volatility, Hoffmann Green History as well as Hoffmann Green Performance.
  
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Hoffmann Green Target Price Odds to finish over 5.00

The tendency of Hoffmann Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.00 90 days 5.00 
about 80.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hoffmann Green to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.92 (This Hoffmann Green Cement probability density function shows the probability of Hoffmann Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hoffmann Green has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hoffmann Green average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hoffmann Green Cement will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hoffmann Green Cement has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hoffmann Green Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hoffmann Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hoffmann Green Cement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.755.008.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.624.878.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.244.487.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.064.464.86
Details

Hoffmann Green Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hoffmann Green is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hoffmann Green's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hoffmann Green Cement, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hoffmann Green within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.92
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
1.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Hoffmann Green Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hoffmann Green for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hoffmann Green Cement can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hoffmann Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hoffmann Green has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 2.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 231 K.
Hoffmann Green Cement has accumulated about 40.48 M in cash with (6.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.4.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hoffmann Green Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hoffmann Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hoffmann Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hoffmann Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments56.7 M

Hoffmann Green Technical Analysis

Hoffmann Green's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hoffmann Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hoffmann Green Cement. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hoffmann Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hoffmann Green Predictive Forecast Models

Hoffmann Green's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hoffmann Green's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hoffmann Green's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hoffmann Green Cement

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hoffmann Green for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hoffmann Green Cement help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hoffmann Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hoffmann Green has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 2.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 231 K.
Hoffmann Green Cement has accumulated about 40.48 M in cash with (6.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.4.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Hoffmann Stock Analysis

When running Hoffmann Green's price analysis, check to measure Hoffmann Green's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hoffmann Green is operating at the current time. Most of Hoffmann Green's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hoffmann Green's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hoffmann Green's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hoffmann Green to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.