Hydrogen Refueling (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.25

ALHRS Stock  EUR 3.37  0.12  3.69%   
Hydrogen Refueling's future price is the expected price of Hydrogen Refueling instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hydrogen Refueling Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hydrogen Refueling Backtesting, Hydrogen Refueling Valuation, Hydrogen Refueling Correlation, Hydrogen Refueling Hype Analysis, Hydrogen Refueling Volatility, Hydrogen Refueling History as well as Hydrogen Refueling Performance.
  
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Hydrogen Refueling Target Price Odds to finish below 5.25

The tendency of Hydrogen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 5.25  after 90 days
 3.37 90 days 5.25 
about 89.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hydrogen Refueling to stay under € 5.25  after 90 days from now is about 89.61 (This Hydrogen Refueling Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Hydrogen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hydrogen Refueling price to stay between its current price of € 3.37  and € 5.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hydrogen Refueling has a beta of 0.0776. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Hydrogen Refueling average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hydrogen Refueling Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hydrogen Refueling Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hydrogen Refueling Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hydrogen Refueling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hydrogen Refueling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hydrogen Refueling's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.953.375.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.813.235.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.472.895.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.083.654.23
Details

Hydrogen Refueling Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hydrogen Refueling is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hydrogen Refueling's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hydrogen Refueling Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hydrogen Refueling within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Hydrogen Refueling Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hydrogen Refueling for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hydrogen Refueling can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hydrogen Refueling generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hydrogen Refueling Solutions has accumulated 7.92 M in total debt. Hydrogen Refueling has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hydrogen Refueling until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hydrogen Refueling's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hydrogen Refueling sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hydrogen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hydrogen Refueling's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 17.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (234 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.37 M.
Hydrogen Refueling Solutions has accumulated about 34.67 M in cash with (12.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hydrogen Refueling Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hydrogen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hydrogen Refueling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hydrogen Refueling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments34.7 M

Hydrogen Refueling Technical Analysis

Hydrogen Refueling's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hydrogen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hydrogen Refueling Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hydrogen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hydrogen Refueling Predictive Forecast Models

Hydrogen Refueling's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hydrogen Refueling's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hydrogen Refueling's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hydrogen Refueling

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hydrogen Refueling for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hydrogen Refueling help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hydrogen Refueling generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hydrogen Refueling Solutions has accumulated 7.92 M in total debt. Hydrogen Refueling has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hydrogen Refueling until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hydrogen Refueling's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hydrogen Refueling sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hydrogen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hydrogen Refueling's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 17.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (234 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.37 M.
Hydrogen Refueling Solutions has accumulated about 34.67 M in cash with (12.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Hydrogen Stock Analysis

When running Hydrogen Refueling's price analysis, check to measure Hydrogen Refueling's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hydrogen Refueling is operating at the current time. Most of Hydrogen Refueling's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hydrogen Refueling's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hydrogen Refueling's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hydrogen Refueling to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.