IT Link (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.33

ALITL Stock  EUR 26.70  0.20  0.75%   
IT Link's future price is the expected price of IT Link instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IT Link performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IT Link Backtesting, IT Link Valuation, IT Link Correlation, IT Link Hype Analysis, IT Link Volatility, IT Link History as well as IT Link Performance.
  
Please specify IT Link's target price for which you would like IT Link odds to be computed.

IT Link Target Price Odds to finish below 24.33

The tendency of ALITL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 24.33  or more in 90 days
 26.70 90 days 24.33 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IT Link to drop to € 24.33  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IT Link probability density function shows the probability of ALITL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IT Link price to stay between € 24.33  and its current price of €26.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IT Link has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IT Link are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IT Link is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IT Link has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IT Link Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IT Link

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IT Link. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.3326.7029.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8922.2629.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.7427.1129.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.1726.4926.81
Details

IT Link Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IT Link is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IT Link's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IT Link, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IT Link within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

IT Link Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IT Link for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IT Link can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

IT Link Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ALITL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IT Link's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IT Link's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.5 M

IT Link Technical Analysis

IT Link's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALITL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IT Link. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALITL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IT Link Predictive Forecast Models

IT Link's time-series forecasting models is one of many IT Link's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IT Link's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IT Link

Checking the ongoing alerts about IT Link for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IT Link help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for ALITL Stock Analysis

When running IT Link's price analysis, check to measure IT Link's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IT Link is operating at the current time. Most of IT Link's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IT Link's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IT Link's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IT Link to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.