Kerlink SAS (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.52
| ALKLK Stock | EUR 0.51 0.01 1.92% |
Kerlink |
Kerlink SAS Target Price Odds to finish below 0.52
The tendency of Kerlink Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 0.52 after 90 days |
| 0.51 | 90 days | 0.52 | about 49.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kerlink SAS to stay under € 0.52 after 90 days from now is about 49.77 (This Kerlink SAS probability density function shows the probability of Kerlink Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kerlink SAS price to stay between its current price of € 0.51 and € 0.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kerlink SAS has a beta of -0.32. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kerlink SAS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kerlink SAS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kerlink SAS has an alpha of 0.2598, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kerlink SAS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kerlink SAS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kerlink SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kerlink SAS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kerlink SAS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kerlink SAS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kerlink SAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kerlink SAS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Kerlink SAS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kerlink SAS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kerlink SAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kerlink SAS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kerlink SAS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kerlink SAS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 19.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.04 M. | |
| Kerlink SAS has accumulated about 5.56 M in cash with (1.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.34, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Kerlink SAS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kerlink Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kerlink SAS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kerlink SAS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.5 M |
Kerlink SAS Technical Analysis
Kerlink SAS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kerlink Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kerlink SAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kerlink Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kerlink SAS Predictive Forecast Models
Kerlink SAS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kerlink SAS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kerlink SAS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kerlink SAS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kerlink SAS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kerlink SAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kerlink SAS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kerlink SAS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kerlink SAS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 19.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.04 M. | |
| Kerlink SAS has accumulated about 5.56 M in cash with (1.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.34, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Tools for Kerlink Stock Analysis
When running Kerlink SAS's price analysis, check to measure Kerlink SAS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kerlink SAS is operating at the current time. Most of Kerlink SAS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kerlink SAS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kerlink SAS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kerlink SAS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.