Allegion Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 179.50
| ALLE Stock | USD 179.50 1.30 0.73% |
Closest to current price Allegion long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Allegion PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 179.50
The tendency of Allegion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 179.50 | 90 days | 179.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allegion PLC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Allegion PLC probability density function shows the probability of Allegion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allegion PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allegion PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allegion PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Allegion PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allegion PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allegion PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allegion PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allegion PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Allegion PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allegion PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allegion PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Allegion PLC paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Allegion to Attend 2026 Barclays Industrial Select Conference |
Allegion PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allegion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allegion PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allegion PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 87.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 503.8 M |
Allegion PLC Technical Analysis
Allegion PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allegion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allegion PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allegion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Allegion PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Allegion PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allegion PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allegion PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Allegion PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allegion PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allegion PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 31st of December 2025 Allegion PLC paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Allegion to Attend 2026 Barclays Industrial Select Conference |
Check out Allegion PLC Analysis, Allegion PLC Valuation, Allegion PLC Correlation, Allegion PLC Hype Analysis, Allegion PLC Volatility, Allegion PLC Price History as well as Allegion PLC Performance. For information on how to trade Allegion Stock refer to our How to Trade Allegion Stock guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could Allegion diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allegion PLC. If investors know Allegion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Allegion PLC data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.095 | Dividend Share 2.1 | Earnings Share 7.4 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 |
The market value of Allegion PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Allegion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Allegion PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Allegion PLC's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Allegion PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Allegion PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Allegion PLC's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Allegion PLC represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Allegion PLC's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.