Allfunds (Netherlands) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.59

ALLFG Stock  EUR 5.48  0.11  2.05%   
Allfunds' future price is the expected price of Allfunds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Allfunds Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Allfunds Backtesting, Allfunds Valuation, Allfunds Correlation, Allfunds Hype Analysis, Allfunds Volatility, Allfunds History as well as Allfunds Performance.
  
Please specify Allfunds' target price for which you would like Allfunds odds to be computed.

Allfunds Target Price Odds to finish below 3.59

The tendency of Allfunds Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 3.59  or more in 90 days
 5.48 90 days 3.59 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allfunds to drop to € 3.59  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Allfunds Group probability density function shows the probability of Allfunds Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allfunds Group price to stay between € 3.59  and its current price of €5.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allfunds Group has a beta of -0.46. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Allfunds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Allfunds Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Allfunds Group has an alpha of 0.0586, implying that it can generate a 0.0586 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Allfunds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Allfunds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allfunds Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.535.487.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.654.606.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.715.667.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.135.475.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Allfunds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Allfunds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Allfunds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Allfunds Group.

Allfunds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allfunds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allfunds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allfunds Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allfunds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Allfunds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allfunds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allfunds Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Allfunds Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allfunds Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allfunds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allfunds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding629.4 M
Short Long Term Debt50 M

Allfunds Technical Analysis

Allfunds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allfunds Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allfunds Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allfunds Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Allfunds Predictive Forecast Models

Allfunds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Allfunds' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allfunds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Allfunds Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Allfunds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allfunds Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Allfunds Stock

Allfunds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allfunds Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allfunds with respect to the benefits of owning Allfunds security.