Allreal Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 141.64
| ALLN Stock | CHF 161.00 0.40 0.25% |
Allreal |
Allreal Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 141.64
The tendency of Allreal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 141.64 or more in 90 days |
| 161.00 | 90 days | 141.64 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allreal Holding to drop to ₣ 141.64 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Allreal Holding probability density function shows the probability of Allreal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allreal Holding price to stay between ₣ 141.64 and its current price of ₣161.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allreal Holding has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Allreal Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Allreal Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Allreal Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Allreal Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allreal Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allreal Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Allreal Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allreal Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allreal Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allreal Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allreal Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Allreal Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allreal Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allreal Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Allreal Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Allreal Holding has accumulated 1.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 93.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Allreal Holding has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Allreal Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Allreal Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Allreal Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Allreal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Allreal Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Allreal Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allreal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allreal Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allreal Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26 M |
Allreal Holding Technical Analysis
Allreal Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allreal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allreal Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allreal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Allreal Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Allreal Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allreal Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allreal Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Allreal Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allreal Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allreal Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Allreal Holding has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Allreal Holding has accumulated 1.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 93.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Allreal Holding has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Allreal Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Allreal Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Allreal Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Allreal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Allreal Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Allreal Stock Analysis
When running Allreal Holding's price analysis, check to measure Allreal Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allreal Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Allreal Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allreal Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allreal Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allreal Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.