Allmed Solutions (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.76

ALMD Stock  ILA 39.20  5.90  17.72%   
Allmed Solutions' future price is the expected price of Allmed Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Allmed Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Allmed Solutions Backtesting, Allmed Solutions Valuation, Allmed Solutions Correlation, Allmed Solutions Hype Analysis, Allmed Solutions Volatility, Allmed Solutions History as well as Allmed Solutions Performance.
  
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Allmed Solutions Target Price Odds to finish below 29.76

The tendency of Allmed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  29.76  or more in 90 days
 39.20 90 days 29.76 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allmed Solutions to drop to  29.76  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Allmed Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Allmed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allmed Solutions price to stay between  29.76  and its current price of 39.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Allmed Solutions has a beta of 0.55. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Allmed Solutions average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Allmed Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Allmed Solutions has an alpha of 0.107, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Allmed Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Allmed Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allmed Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.7739.2044.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.1531.5843.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.3838.8244.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.4134.6437.87
Details

Allmed Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allmed Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allmed Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allmed Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allmed Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
3.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Allmed Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allmed Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allmed Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Allmed Solutions had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Allmed Solutions has accumulated about 9.94 M in cash with (5.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Allmed Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allmed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allmed Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allmed Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.8 M

Allmed Solutions Technical Analysis

Allmed Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allmed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allmed Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allmed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Allmed Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

Allmed Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Allmed Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allmed Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Allmed Solutions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Allmed Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allmed Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Allmed Solutions had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Allmed Solutions has accumulated about 9.94 M in cash with (5.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Allmed Stock

Allmed Solutions financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allmed Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allmed with respect to the benefits of owning Allmed Solutions security.