Amoeba SA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.25
| ALMIB Stock | EUR 0.81 0.02 2.41% |
Amoeba |
Amoeba SA Target Price Odds to finish over 4.25
The tendency of Amoeba Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 4.25 or more in 90 days |
| 0.81 | 90 days | 4.25 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amoeba SA to move over € 4.25 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Amoeba SA probability density function shows the probability of Amoeba Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amoeba SA price to stay between its current price of € 0.81 and € 4.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amoeba SA has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amoeba SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amoeba SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amoeba SA has an alpha of 0.4898, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amoeba SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amoeba SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amoeba SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amoeba SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amoeba SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amoeba SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amoeba SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amoeba SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Amoeba SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amoeba SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amoeba SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amoeba SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Amoeba SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (7.82 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (766.61 K). | |
| Amoeba SA has accumulated about 4.97 M in cash with (4.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. |
Amoeba SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amoeba Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amoeba SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amoeba SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.3 M |
Amoeba SA Technical Analysis
Amoeba SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amoeba Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amoeba SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amoeba Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amoeba SA Predictive Forecast Models
Amoeba SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amoeba SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amoeba SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amoeba SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amoeba SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amoeba SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amoeba SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Amoeba SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (7.82 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (766.61 K). | |
| Amoeba SA has accumulated about 4.97 M in cash with (4.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. |
Additional Tools for Amoeba Stock Analysis
When running Amoeba SA's price analysis, check to measure Amoeba SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amoeba SA is operating at the current time. Most of Amoeba SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amoeba SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amoeba SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amoeba SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.